Cahiers de recherche

Thème

Résultats négatifs et nuls

8 cahiers

WP40

RAID: A Metal-Accelerated C++ Framework for Reproducible High-Frequency Financial Econometrics

Batched, Fused and Streaming Estimation on Apple Silicon without Sacrificing Inference

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v1.0

We ask whether heterogeneous high-frequency econometric workloads—realized measures, rolling and batched regressions, HAR forecasting models, GARCH-family quasi-maximum likelihood, block bootstrap inference—can be reorganised into batched, fused, streaming computation on Apple Silicon GPUs without sacrificing…

WP39

The Invisible Balance Sheet

Can Intraday Financial Markets Detect Corporate Deterioration Before Accounting Disclosures?

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v1.0

Do one-minute financial markets see a firm's forthcoming accounting deterioration before daily markets do? This paper builds a strictly point-in-time panel of 3,796 U.S. listed firms and 102,522 firm-quarters (2013–2026) from 6.7 billion raw one-minute bars and quarterly statements with filing and release dates, and…

WP38

The Economic Geography of Digital Retail Supply: Product Diversity, Regional Specialization, and the Hidden Structure of Quebec's Online Economy

Evidence from 390,108 product listings of 1,569 Quebec online stores across 17 administrative regions (Fabri-Ka snapshot, 1 November 2026)

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v1.0

Can product-level online catalogues reveal the spatial organisation, diversity and specialization of a regional retail economy beyond what business counts show? This paper studies one read-only snapshot (1 November 2026) of Fabri-Ka, an aggregator of the public catalogues of 1,569 Quebec-based online stores (390,108…

WP35

The Social Compression Hypothesis

A Pre-Registered Test of Coordination Demand, Institutional Capacity, and Instability in Historical and Modern Societies, with a Formal Framework and Agent-Based Experiments

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v1.0

Institutions, standards, records and administrative hierarchies can be read as devices that lower the communication cost of coordinating many people: a form of compression. This paper states that reading formally, derives what it does and does not imply, and tests its empirical corollary, that a mismatch between a…

WP34

Beyond the Square-Root Barrier: Automated Discovery of Algebraic and Algorithmic Shortcuts in Bitcoin Cryptography

A hypothesis-driven, reproducible study of secp256k1, ECDSA, BIP340 Schnorr and SHA-256 with machine-checked identities and controlled negative results

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v1.0

Bitcoin's security rests on the elliptic-curve discrete-logarithm problem on secp256k1, on SHA-256, and on the ECDSA and BIP340 Schnorr signature schemes. The generic cost of the discrete logarithm, Θ(√n), is a theorem in the generic-group model; the curve's unusual structure, a special prime, j-invariant 0 and…

WP33

TITAN-MoE: Topology-Aware and Predictive Expert Orchestration for Distributed Mixture-of-Experts Inference on Apple Silicon

A Measured Systems Study on a Heterogeneous Mac Cluster

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · novembre 2026 · v0.1

Sparse mixture-of-experts (MoE) language models touch only a few experts per token, so a model whose weights exceed a machine's memory can still be served if the right experts are in the right place at the right time. This preliminary working paper reports the design, implementation and measurement of TITAN-MoE, an…

WP31

PRISME: Intervention-Supervised Sparse Workspace Editing for Small Language Models

Design, controlled evaluation, and negative and positive evidence at the 100M-parameter scale

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

PRISME augments a frozen causal decoder with a read-only source bank, an ephemeral sixteen-slot latent workspace re-created at every position, a shared sparse editor that rewrites one or two slots per action, a value controller trained on counterfactual intervention gains measured by executing paired edit/no-edit…

WP26

Can Autonomous AI Agents Discover the Fundamental Value of Real Estate? Evidence from Quebec Transactions and Multi-Agent Deliberation

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

Committees of role-specialised language-model agents that debate before answering are increasingly proposed as valuation tools. This paper asks whether the debate adds information. In a preregistered experiment on 631,866 arm's-length residential sales registered in Quebec between 2021 and 2026, evaluated under a…