Cahiers de recherche

Domaine

Économie immobilière

Prix hédoniques, évaluation automatisée, indices immobiliers, fiscalité et théorie du logement.

17 cahiers

WP26

Can Autonomous AI Agents Discover the Fundamental Value of Real Estate? Evidence from Quebec Transactions and Multi-Agent Deliberation

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

Committees of role-specialised language-model agents that debate before answering are increasingly proposed as valuation tools. This paper asks whether the debate adds information. In a preregistered experiment on 631,866 arm's-length residential sales registered in Quebec between 2021 and 2026, evaluated under a…

WP23

Beyond Hedonic Models: Spatiotemporal, Hierarchical and Probabilistic Architectures for Residential Real Estate Price Forecasting

A pseudo-real-time evaluation on 632,000 Quebec transactions and 82 local market indices, 2021–2026

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

This paper asks whether new forecasting architectures improve residential price forecasts over strong conventional methods, and under which conditions. Using the audited Quebec land-registry sample of UQO Working Paper 22 (632,006 sales, 2021–2026) and its real-time quality-adjusted index vintages, it defines three…

WP22

SHARP-HPI: A Spatially Hierarchical, Adaptive and Robust Framework for Quality-Adjusted Housing Price Indices

Monthly municipal indices for Quebec from 770,000 registered sales, 2021–2026

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

This paper develops and evaluates SHARP-HPI, a framework for monthly quality-adjusted housing price indices at the municipal level in thin markets. Stage one is a robust pooled hedonic regression with fine-scale location fixed effects, smoothly time-varying quality prices and provincial month effects; stage two models…

WP21

The Global Evidence on Housing Price Determinants: A Meta-Analysis of Hedonic Pricing Models, 1970–2026

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

This paper synthesises the global hedonic housing literature from 1970 to 2026 with a reproducible pipeline: 103,011 records identified from Semantic Scholar, Crossref, arXiv and OpenAlex, 56,727 unique records screened by rules and by independent agents under a PRISMA-style protocol, 2,249 hedonic studies included at…

WP20

From Listing Images to Property Valuation: A Multimodal AI Framework for Automated Building Characterization and the Cost Approach

Evidence from Québec single-family listings matched to the assessment roll

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

The cost approach to value requires a specification of the improvements — materials, finish grade, condition, renovations — that assessment rolls do not record and that appraisers obtain by inspection. This paper asks whether that specification can be extracted from the photographs and text of a for-sale listing by…

WP19

The Endogenous Housing Liquidity Premium: Search Frictions, Seller Urgency, and Price Discovery

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

This paper studies how search frictions, heterogeneous seller urgency, financing frictions and bargaining jointly determine the liquidity discount, transaction prices, sale hazards and price dispersion in a local housing market. In a continuous-time matching model with free entry of buyers, sellers differ in a…

WP18

Housing, Leverage, and Intergenerational Wealth Inequality: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Theory

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.0

This paper asks under what conditions inherited wealth, mortgage leverage, nominal debt, housing supply and down-payment constraints generate persistent owner–renter wealth gaps among households with the same labour-income process, and what an unanticipated inflation changes. A three-stage benchmark with two-period…

WP16

Does the Sales Comparison Approach Actually Work? A Large-Scale Point-in-Time Validation of Comparable Selection, Price Adjustments, and Value Reconciliation

Evidence from 391,000 Single-Family Transactions in Quebec, 2021–2026

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

The sales comparison approach is the dominant method of residential valuation, yet its operating rules — how many comparables to use, how far and how far back to search, which adjustments to apply, how to weight and reconcile — rest largely on professional convention. This paper subjects these rules to a…

WP14

Hedonic House Pricing with Language-Model and Vision Features: Evidence from Quebec Real-Estate Listings

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v2.1

Hedonic house-price models are bounded by the characteristics an analyst can measure, yet much of a home's value is recorded only in the free-text description and photographs of its listing. This paper treats general-purpose AI models as a feature-engineering technology: a large language model converts each…

WP11

Half a Million Prices, Twenty Models

A Systematic Assessment of Hedonic Specifications and Estimation Methods for the Quebec Housing Market, 2021–2026

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

Fifty years after Rosen (1974), applied hedonic practice still rests on specification choices (functional form, temporal controls, spatial controls, estimation method) that are made by convention and rarely stress-tested jointly. Using 514,212 Quebec residential sales (2021–2026) whose structural descriptors come from…

WP10

The Assessment Gap in Quebec

Vertical and Horizontal Inequity in Municipal Property Valuation: Evidence from 522,769 Sales Matched to the Assessment Roll

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

Municipal property taxes are levied on assessed values, so any systematic relationship between assessment ratios and market value redistributes the tax burden within a municipality. This paper matches 522,769 residential sales recorded in Quebec between 2021 and 2026 to the triennial assessment rolls of 625…

WP09

A Grand Hedonic Model of the Canadian Housing Market

Decomposing the Value of Structure and Location across 142,121 MLS Listings with High-Dimensional Neighbourhood Fixed Effects

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.3

This paper estimates a national hedonic price function for the Canadian residential market on a cross-section of 142,121 active MLS listings from nine provinces. A semi-logarithmic specification relates the log list price to structural attributes, dwelling type and ownership form, and 1,155 absorbed neighbourhood…

WP05

Airbnb, Residential Rents, and Housing Market Pressure: A Hedonic and Spatial Econometric Analysis

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

This paper examines the relationship between short-term rental (STR) activity and residential rents in Quebec, Canada, using a 2026 cross-section of 3,456 Airbnb listings and 8,303 residential rental listings with precise coordinates. For each rental listing the number of Airbnb listings within 250 m, 500 m, 1 km and…

WP04

Hedonic Pricing of Short-Term Rental Properties: A Multi-Method Analysis of Airbnb Listing Prices in Quebec

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

This paper estimates hedonic price functions for a province-wide cross-section of Airbnb listings in Quebec, Canada, from a scrape of 5,000 listing cards collected in early 2026 (3,456 with a displayed price). The displayed price field is bimodal: about 28% of priced listings, mostly small Montreal rental units, show…

WP03

Hedonic Housing Price Models for the United States: A Multi-Method Comparison of Parametric, Quantile, and Machine Learning Approaches

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.2

This paper compares econometric and machine-learning approaches to hedonic housing valuation on 788,842 active Zillow listings covering all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, and asks how much of the machine-learning advantage survives when models must price homes in markets they have not seen. A semi-log…

WP02

Decoding Real Estate Descriptions: Semantic Embeddings and Hedonic Pricing of Residential Properties in Quebec

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.2

Broker-written listing descriptions contain information about housing quality that structured hedonic variables omit. This paper proposes an interpretable way to use that information: sentence-transformer embeddings of 17,087 single-family listings from Quebec are projected, by cosine similarity, onto 20…

WP01

Heterogeneous Amenity Capitalization in the Quebec Residential Market: A Spatial Quantile Regression Approach

Simon-Pierre Boucher · Cahiers de recherche UQO · octobre 2026 · v1.1

Hedonic regressions estimated at the conditional mean impose a single implicit price for each housing attribute across the price distribution. This paper asks whether the capitalisation of neighbourhood amenities into Quebec residential asking prices varies along the conditional price distribution, and whether it…